superforecaster
superforecaster noun: one who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy.
Noun
superforecaster (plural superforecasters)
- One who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy.
- On average, when a forecaster did well enough in year 1 to become a superforecaster, and was put on a superforecaster team in year 2, that person became 50% more accurate.2015, Philip Tetlock, Dan Gardner, Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, →ISBN, page 205
- An important lesson taught by the gaming approach to warfare is that the superforecaster must be always open to 'unknown unknowns', to use the decision-theoretic jargon popularized by US Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld during the Iraq war.2018, Steve Fuller, Post-Truth: Knowledge As A Power Game, →ISBN
Forms of superforecaster
| plural | superforecasters |
|---|
Origin of superforecaster
From super + forecaster.
Questions about superforecaster
- What does superforecaster mean?
- Superforecaster means one who consistently makes predictions at significantly better than chance accuracy.
- What part of speech is superforecaster?
- Superforecaster is a noun.
- What is the plural of superforecaster?
- The plural of superforecaster is superforecasters.
Words near superforecaster in the dictionary
Source and license
Adapted from Wiktionary: superforecaster (page history and authors). Text available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 license. Word.ws reformatted the entry and added links. Wiktionary data of 2026-09-02.
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Cite this entry: “superforecaster.” Word.ws, https://word.ws/superforecaster. Based on Wiktionary, CC BY-SA 4.0.